Week 9 Information

Lectures

• Markov Chain Monte Carlo
• Predictive Model Assessments

Homework

• Homework 4 will be assigned this week, due 4/11 at 9pm.

Readings

• Clark, M. P., Vogel, R. M., Lamontagne, J. R., Mizukami, N., Knoben, W. J. M., Tang, G., et al. (2021). The abuse of popular performance metrics in hydrologic modeling. Water Resources Research, 57(9). https://doi.org/10.1029/2020wr029001

  As you’re reading, please use the collaborative annotation in Canvas to make notes and read and respond to others’ thoughts and questions. We will discuss the paper in the 03/24 class period. You will be graded based on annotation and participation in the discussion.

  In particular, please focus on:

  • What are the practical implications of the identified uncertainties in the analyzed performance metrics? Do you agree with the conclusions drawn by the authors?
  • Can you think of analogues in other applications that you’re familiar with?
  • What does this paper suggest about the assessment of environmental model performance?

Quiz

• No quiz this week.