Week 2 Information

Lectures

• Null Hypothesis Testing and Statistical Significance
• Probability Fundamentals

Homework

• Homework 1 due 2/7/25 by 9PM.

Readings

• Lloyd, E. A., & Oreskes, N. (2018). Climate change attribution: When is it appropriate to accept new methods? Earth’s Future, 6(3), 311–325. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017ef000665

  As you’re reading, please use the collaborative annotation in Canvas to make notes and read and respond to others’ thoughts and questions. We will discuss the paper in the 02/03 class period. You will be graded based on annotation and participation in the discussion.

  In particular, please focus on:

  • How does the framing of climate change attribution relate to the Type I/Type II error framework we discussed in class?
  • What are the implications of the storyline approach for statements about climate attribution of extreme events?
  • What are your thoughts on the storyline vs. FAR approach for scientific insights and communication of climate impacts?